Tropical Storm Arthur is expected to take a sharp right turn after passing by the Outer Banks of North Carolina on Monday and will pose no threat to New Jersey other than some possible rough surf and rip currents in the still chilly waters off the Jersey Shore.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins in two weeks, June 1, and runs through November 30. On Tuesday, the storm is expected to lose its tropical storm characteristics, according to the National Hurricane Center. Waves kicked up by the storm will affect the southeast USA coast from Florida to the mid-Atlantic states, the hurricane center said.
Minor inundation from storm surge is possible for very low-lying areas adjacent to the ocean, sounds, and rivers, with overwash of dunes and flooding of properties and roadways possible for locations where dune structures are weak mainly north of Cape Lookout. However, it will move near or just east of North Carolina on Monday. - Tropical Storm Arthur has formed off the east-central coast of Florida. Historically, it is not so unusual for a tropical or subtropical storm to form before June 1 and be named after reaching sustained winds of 40 miles per hour.
The tropical storm is forecast to show towards the northeast with a rise in ahead pace over the following 24 to 48 hours.
According to an advisory, North Carolina, and specifically the Outer Banks, are under a tropical storm warning as of Sunday morning, but Florida is expected to mostly be spared by the storm.
Showers have lingered over the islands of Grand Bahama and Abaco, which are still struggling to recover after being hit by a Category 5 hurricane a year ago.
The first tropical system of the year in the Atlantic developed on Saturday. Another important factor is the warming of sea surface temperatures in recent decades due to climate change, allowing earlier development.
What to know in regards to the approaching Atlantic hurricane season. The NHC embraced the out-to-sea track in their first forecast, where it also remains with their latest track update.
The season's strongest storm, Hurricane Dorian, became a Category 5 major hurricane, with maximum sustained wind speeds recorded at 185mph.
Forecasters are predicting an energetic hurricane season this yr.
The NWS's Charleston office, which covers the southeastern portion of SC, says the storm will stay east of the area, away from the SC and Georgia coast.