However, based on service/return points won on grass during the same time period, and that same data across Wimbledon this year, Federer does have an advantage that should suggest the market pricing should be reversed, and, if I was forced to have a bet today, it would be Federer as an underdog here.
"Well, we have a lot of information on Rafa, and so does he about us", Federer said.
Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal renew their exalted rivalry on Friday when they meet at Wimbledon for the first time since the epic 2008 final. But Nadal has been even more dominant, taking four of his five matches in straight sets. The third set was closely contested.
After almost two weeks of low-key and uneventful tennis on the men's side, Wimbledon finally spat out a matchup that promises drama to the highest degree.
If he beats Federer here - and he's favourite to do so - he'll be within sight of a 19 major and one behind the Swiss, who probably won't add many if any more to his tally at nearly 38 years old.
Federer hasn't impressed this grass swing by his standards and I have to wonder whether or not he's still capable of going to five sets against Nadal these days.
Aside from Andy Murray's two triumphs in 2013 and 2016, no player other than Federer, Nadal and Djokovic has won the tournament since Lleyton Hewitt did so in 2002. With the victory, Djokovic has reached his 25th Grand Slam final.
Talking about his upcoming match, Agut said, "I am enjoying playing on this court and I have enjoyed every match I've played". He's gone through his matches easily against hard players like Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Sam Querrey, and that's because of his level. You can find the Novak Djokovic v Roberto Bautista Agut live streaming options along with its preview, head to head and tips here for a match that will begin at 1 pm local time (12 noon GMT).
Djokovic is in his sixth final at the All England Club and will look to add to previous Wimbledon wins in 2011, 2014, 2015 and 2018. Based on two year hold/break data on grass, I made Rafa [1.83] and Roger [2.20], not hugely dissimilar to the market pricing.
"It's the one match that every tennis player alive will tune in for". No. 23 seed Roberto Bautista Agut, 8 a.m.
You can watch the live match with a TV on BBC1, BBC2 and BBC Red Button, which has been extended for the tournament.
"And that's not a knock on his current form-he's dropped just two sets in five matches, and both were the first set in matches he ended up winning comfortably-but instead an acknowledgment of how well Nadal is playing".
First semifinal: No. 1 seed Novak Djokovic vs. I hear Ibiza is lovely this time of year.
Djokovic saved two break points in the next game, the second with that 45-shot rally that had the crowd openly laughing at the absurd consistency.