As we approach mid-November, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring what it calls a "vigorous" tropical wave.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with this disturbance have increased today, and environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for the development of a tropical or subtropical cyclone by the middle of the week.
If it strengthens into a tropical storm it would become Patty, the 16th named storm of 2018.
As of Monday morning the system has a 90-percent chance of turning into a named storm, the National Hurricane Center forecasts.
Forecasters say the weather system could affect the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southern or central Bahamas by late Wednesday or Thursday before a cold front coming from the east coast pushes the system northward and eastward.
A new weather system is brewing in the Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center has announced, with potential development into a cyclone or subtropical cyclone by midweek.
"In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes, activity in the Atlantic basin thus far in 2018 has been above normal". That's the most likely time for tropical depressions, storms and hurricanes to form.
Hurricane Kate hit the Florida Panhandle on November 20, 1985, with 120 mph winds; Wrong Way Lenny nailed the northern Antilles with 150 mph winds on November 17, 1999; and most famously, Mitch belted Honduras with 180 mph winds on October 25, 1998.
Alberto formed before the season's official beginning on June 1, making it the fourth year in a row with a storm before the season's official start on June 1.